Nfl Draft Bets
With the coronavirus pandemic continuing to keep sports leagues and events canceled or suspended, there hasn’t been much to place bets on.
Enter the 2020 NFL draft, which starts on Thursday night with the first round.
The 2020 NFL Draft begins Thursday and we break it down with a look at the 10 best prop bets for the NFL draft. QB Tua Tagovailoa draft position: Over 5.5 (+110), Under 5.5 (-136) Odds via. Bet $100 to win $90.91 (10% juice) It's not uncommon to see other values posted other than -10. Examples seen on the NFL Vegas Odds pages could include -08, -12, -15 and -20. The -10 price is the most common value in the industry while many books offer reduced 'juice odds' and that would fall into the -08 category. See all picks by a selected team during the 2021 NFL Draft with Draftcast on ESPN.
Even though it has a chance to be a huge disaster with technical glitches and problems, college players will eventually be drafted by teams and there’s a possibility you could win money in the process if you make some bold predictions.
So let’s go over some of the best bets we see on the board ahead of Thursday night.
Best Nfl Draft Bets
(All bets courtesy of BetMGM.)
1. Third overall pick (Tua Tagovailoa +400, Justin Herbert +400)
It could be Jeffrey Okudah (who’s at +125). But remember: best bets can also be about value, and I love the idea of throwing a few bucks on the two quarterbacks that teams could trade up with the Lions to nab. At +400, there’s so much value there.
2. Third quarterback drafted (Jordan Love +600)
Joe Burrow will go first. Either Tagovailoa or Herbert might go second, and the other of that pair MIGHT go third. But what if there’s a team out there that’s fallen in love with the Utah State product? Then a bet on +600 might turn out to be a really good one.
3. Total wide receivers in first round (Under 5.5 +145)
I know this is perhaps an all-time class of wideouts. But let’s count: Jerry Jeudy, CeeDee Lamb, Justin Jefferson and Henry Ruggs all seem like locks. What about Tee Higgins, Michael Pittman Jr. and Denzel Mims? Are there REALLY six teams who are going to take wide receivers in the first, or will some teams see the value in waiting until the second? You can see where I land with this one.
Nfl Draft Odds
4. Total running backs drafted in he first round (Under 0.5 +145)
Seems like most mocks have D’Andre Swift out of Georgia as the only possible first-rounder, but I’ll take the odds on any RB going outside the opening round.
5. First running back drafted (Jonathan Taylor +200)
Our Steven Ruiz thinks he’s the top RB on the board, and I find that listening to him is usually the smartest move. Plus, decent odds!
6. More 1st round picks — head-to-head Alabama/LSU (LSU +250)
The Crimson Tide could see Tua Tagovailoa, Jerry Jeudy, Jedrick Wills Jr., Xavier McKinney and Henry Ruggs go in the first round. The Tigers have Joe Burrow, Justin Jefferson, K’Lavon Chaisson and Patrick Queen, but maybe Grant Delpit and Kristian Fulton jump in. So I’ll go for the odds on the Tigers.
Nfl Draft Bets Fanduel
7. Tua Tagovailoa draft position (Over 5.5 +135)
Are teams nervous about his injury history? Do other teams love Justin Herbert more? If so, here’s a bet worth putting money on.
8. In which round will Jalen Hurts be drafted? (Round 3 +150, Rounds 4-7 +1400)
The favorite is in the second round, and that makes some sense but man, those Round 4-7 odds. If you want a safer bet, the third round seems decent.
9. Which team will draft Tua Tagovailoa? (Las Vegas Raiders +1200)
LET’S GET NUTS! I just want to see if Jon Gruden goes for a QB, and you have to love those odds.
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The 2020 NFL Draft begins Thursday and we break it down with a look at the 10 best prop bets for the NFL draft.
1. QB Tua Tagovailoa draft position: Over 5.5 (+110), Under 5.5 (-136)
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, April 20 at 10 a.m. ET.
The Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Chargers have been connected to Tagovailoa. They have the fifth and sixth overall picks, respectively.
This bet comes down to whether you believe the Chargers want him. If they do, they will trade up.
Teams targeting their franchise quarterback often must trade up if they don’t have the No. 1 overall pick. The Arizona Cardinals, Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens traded up in 2018. The Kansas City Chiefs and Houston Texans did in 2017. The Los Angeles Rams and Philadelphia Eagles did in 2016.
The best bet here is UNDER and at -136 there is still some value.
2. QB Justin Herbert draft position: Over 5.5 (-110), Under 5.5 (-110)
With both the Over and Under set evenly, it is worth going either way. Again, it comes down to the Chargers and whether they feel they must draft a quarterback. If the Dolphins go with Tagovailoa, the Chargers could go with Herbert, however, they have a greater need at offensive tackle. You can go either way with this bet but the Chargers also have interest in QB Jalen Hurts later in the draft. I’m taking the OVER (-110).
3. DT Derrick Brown draft position: Over 8.5 (+110), Under (-136)
While many consider him a lock for the top 10, most commonly mocked to the Carolina Panthers with the seventh pick, defensive linemen who test below average athletically and don’t have a history of big production in the passing games often slip. With teams potentially trading up to target offensive linemen, Brown could slip out of the top 10. Go for the value here and take the OVER(+110).
4. Total Alabama players drafted in 1st round: Over 5.5 (+110), Under (-130)
Five Crimson Tide players are locks — QB Tua Tagovailoa, WR Jerry Jeudy, WR Henry Ruggs III, OL Jedrick Wills and S Xavier McKinney. The wild cards are pass rusher Terrell Lewis and CB Trevon Diggs. Both play premium positions. Only one of them has to get selected to hit the over. Go with the value and take the OVER(+110).
5. Exact outcome of first 3 draft picks
The favorite is Joe Burrow/Chase Young/Jeff Okudah at +115. History says teams will trade up for a quarterback. Go with one of two scenarios. Joe Burrow/Chase Young/Justin Herbert at +340 or Joe Burrow/Chase Young/Tua Tagovailoa at +360
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6. In which round will RB Jonathan Taylor be drafted? Round 1 (+275), Rounds 2-7 (-358)
There is no need to even consider him going undrafted, even though the odds are +10000. Considering his size, production and his testing at the combine, he will go in the first round. Take ROUND 1(+275).
7. Which team will draft WR Henry Ruggs III?
The favorites are the Denver Broncos at +280 but a recent report suggests they will move up to target Jerry Jeudy. The safest pick would be the San Francisco 49ers at +425 but I have my eyes on a big payout. The Philadelphia Eagles are looking to move up and San Francisco could take a defensive lineman to replace DeForest Buckner. I’m betting on the EAGLES(+1500).
8. First running back drafted
The favorite is D’Andre Swift at -182. Considering his production, size and combine testing numbers, Jonathan Taylor (+200) is where the value is.
9. First offensive lineman drafted
The favorite is Jedrick Wills at -130. Next is Tristan Wirfs at +110. The New York Giants have mostly been connected to Wirfs until recently and Wills appears to be the pick. Go with the recent trend with WILLS (-130).
10. Josh Jones draft position: Over 27.5 (-110), Under 27.5 (-110)
With even odds either way, consider the premium nature of the offensive tackle position. Jones could go in the late teens. He has been connected to the Miami Dolphins who have the 18th and 26th picks. Take the UNDER (-110).
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